Medical care is a relatively traditional and stable development industry. Clinics and hospitals have long been involved in venture capital because of their long return on investment, narrow exit methods, high initial input costs, high organizational management difficulty, and brand start-ups. In the field, private medical care centered on the Putian system is also killed in the market.
Due to the fact that these years of venture capital in the mobile medical , precision medical , smart medical + AI layout, the concept of attracting attention has come one after another, but the entire industry has not made money for venture capital, and some successful exit cases are only a few.
So from the beginning of the past few years, the logic of many injured venture capital institutions went from one extreme to the other. The so-called investment in reinforced concrete, only investing in tangible entities, investing in traditional areas of income and cash flow. As a result, private hospitals and clinics that have been heavily invested in large-scale investment have sprung up.
Most venture capitalists will face heavy losses like “striking for the swordâ€.
It is a foregone conclusion that the majority of venture capitalists who think that they understand the medical heavy asset model, are easy to chain, have cash flow, and have grasped the investment experience are in fact just like the Chu people who "seek the sword and seek the sword".
The macro data does not need to be mentioned. The industry has concentrated on many private hospitals and clinics, with a loss of nearly 60%. Even if many hospitals have a current cash flow balance or a slight surplus, many of them are only struggling to maintain, even if they claim to be profitable, but if the initial cost, decoration and maintenance, and depreciation of medical equipment are counted, how much gross profit is left? At the same time, are the scale and reproducibility of hospitals and clinics so strong?
The construction of hospitals and clinics that are now hot and hot will soon usher in a cooling-off period:
First, the cash flow derivation model used for return on investment will definitely emphasize chain management, but the expansion of physical medical scale is not easy, and the expansion speed is usually slow.
Second, how to improve the “practical effect†of individual medical institutions, continuously increase income and reduce costs is also a core issue.
Therefore, from the point of view of actual operation, since the hospital clinic has a very long “climbing period†when it is started, it takes a lot of effort to increase the income of the single store, but it is relatively easy to reach the ceiling. Because this is a relatively traditional business, and opening a factory, doing a chain store is no different from the nature of the business (less emotional things), using the cash flow model is easy to measure, not like Internet medical, medical power The business or technology-driven medical industry has the possibility of large-scale income and large-scale reduction of marginal cost, and the main business income of hospitals and clinics and the main business cost will be proportional to each other. This is the standard traditional business. Like other domestic manufacturing, retail or catering industries, large-scale losses, gross margins are still a very common phenomenon.
Medical resources are not lacking, and "no one is studying medicine" is an alarmist!
So at the national level, is our medical resources enough?
It can be said very responsibly that the total amount is still enough. It's not like the "unmanned doctors" described by many alarmist media, but most medical graduates and doctors can't find a job. Many people go to the master's degree to be forced.
Do not say that the top three hospitals in the big cities, that is, the recruitment of doctors in the secondary and tertiary hospitals in ordinary cities, all require the master's degree doctors, many college graduates, even if the completion of the training, it is difficult to find a suitable job after the license. Even if you enter the top three hospitals, even if you have thousands of pieces per month, you have to trust people. It is also very common to pick one hundred miles. And the annual graduation of over one million medical students, only a few hundred thousand from the doctor, the fundamental reason is that there is no need for so many doctors.
According to statistics, there are more than 300 million people in the United States, and the doctor's data is 1 million. We have a population of 1.3 billion, and there are 3 million doctors. We are not an assistant physician. Traditional Chinese medicine practitioners, Mongolian doctors, Tibetan doctors, and village doctors add up to more than 1 million. In fact, the ratio is similar, but our medical treatment and medical efficiency are far more than the United States, so the overall medical resources are enough. It is only a large number of primary medical care. The medical resources in the second and third tier cities are largely idle, and there are structural imbalances and siphons and monopolies in public hospitals in big cities.
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